Is it safe to rule out acute pulmonary embolism with stand-alone D-dimer testing below 750 µg/L?

BEEM Bottom Line

Why is this study important?

Emergency department (ED) testing for pulmonary embolism (PE) can be complex and time consuming. This study evaluated the diagnostic utility of D-dimer testing alone, without clinical probability assessment (for example, the Wells score).

Which, if any, threats to validity are most likely to have an impact on the results and how?

This is a retrospective analysis of prospective studies with different assays and patient populations resulting in a variation in PE prevalence between studies.

Many patients with a D-dimer between the study cut-point and 750 µg/L underwent CT scanning and some patients were diagnosed with a small clinically unimportant PE; thereby, reducing the reported negative predictive value of the D-dimer test. Missing D-dimers were replaced by multiple imputation in 14% of cases, mostly in the high Wells score group, which was also the smallest group.

How do the key results compare with the current evidence?

The findings agree with prior research that shows D-dimer can exclude PE in non-high risk patients.[1] This analysis suggests that a higher cut-point of 750 µg/L could be used in low clinical probability patients. Currently, there is not enough evidence to raise the D-dimer threshold for all patients suspected for PE.

How should this study impact the care of ED patients?

Emergency physicians should continue to use clinical probability assessment (for example, the Wells rule) in combination with D-dimer to investigate patients for PE. We await further prospective validation for using a higher D-dimer cut-point in low clinical probability patients.

Study Summary

Pubmed ID

27873439

Study Reference

van Es N, van der Hulle T, Büller HR, et al. Is stand-alone D-dimer testing safe to rule out acute pulmonary embolism? J Thromb Haemost. 2017 Feb;15(2):323–328.

Study Design

Systematic review and meta-analysis with post-hoc analysis of data from 6 studies.

Population

Included: Prospective observational studies of hemodynamically stable adults with suspected acute PE evaluated in hospital. The studies had to report the Wells score by Wells ≤ 4 and Wells > 4. Patients with a non-high Wells score and normal D-dimer were followed for 3 months.
Excluded: Not described explicitly.

Intervention

Retrospective application of D-dimer cut-point 750 µg/L.

Comparison

None.

Outcomes

Primary: Sensitivity, specificity and negative predictive value of D-dimer cut-point of 750 µg/L.
Secondary: Sensitivity, specificity and negative predictive value in patients with a low, moderate, and high clinical pretest probability according to the Wells score; patients with active cancer; previous venous thromboembolism (VTE); inpatients.

Key Results

N = 7,268 patients.

Outcome Number Measure (95%CI) QUADAS Heterogeneity
All Patients
PE Incidence 7,268 23% (17 to 30) Low risk of bias High
NPV   97.2% (94.9 to 98.4)    
LR–   0.099 (0.07 to 0.13)    
Sensitivity   94.5% (91.5 to 96.4)    
Specificity   55.8% (47.6 to 63.7)    
Low Probability
PE Incidence 2,852 10.1% (7.3 to 13.7) Low risk of bias High
NPV   99.2% (98.6 to 99.5)    
Sensitivity   94.5% (90.7 to 96.8)    
Specificity   65.3% (56.9 to 72.9)    
Moderate Probability
PE Incidence 4,061 28.8% (22.2 to 36.3) Low risk of bias High
NPV   95.5% (92.0 to 97.5)    
Sensitivity   94.2% (90.2 to 96.7)    
Specificity   48.8% (38.4 to 59.2)    
High Probability
PE Incidence 293 58.7% (52.8 to 64.2) Low risk of bias High
NPV   79.3% (53.0 to 92.8)    
Sensitivity   96.3% (89.8 to 98.7)    
Specificity   20.9% (11.3 to 35.3)    

CI = Confidence Interval; LR– = Negative Likelihood Ratio; NPV= Negative Predictive Value; N = number of patients; QUADAS: quality assessment of diagnostic accuracy studies. 62 patients missing in study.

BEEM Critique

Risk of Bias Assessment

Appraisers (A)
A1 A2 A3
1 The research question is sensible and answerable. Maybe Maybe Maybe
2 The search for studies included all languages, databases, abstracts, bibliographies, and expert contact. No No No
3 The search for studies was unbiased and reproducible. Yes Yes Yes
4 The selection of studies was unbiased and reproducible. Yes Yes Yes
5 The data abstraction was unbiased (e.g., conducted independently by 2 researchers). Yes Yes Yes
6 The assessment of the quality of the primary studies was unbiased and reproducible. Yes Yes Yes
7 The quality of the primary studies is high. Yes Yes Yes
8 The methods used to combine the included primary studies are reported and valid. Yes Yes Yes
9 The outcomes are clinically relevant. Yes Maybe Yes
10 The statistical heterogeneity of the primary outcome is low (< 25%). No No No

Funding & Conflicts of Interest

Funding

None stated.

Conflicts of Interest

None stated.

Potential Threats to Validity

Chance

None identified.

Selection Bias

The authors combined results of a limited number of studies from different settings.

Measurement Bias

Many patients with a D-dimer < 750 µg/L underwent imaging, which identified clots of minimal clinical significance. The selected studies used different D-dimer assays, and in 1 study, different cut-points.

Analysis Bias

This was a post-hoc analysis with high heterogeneity in the incidence of PE

Confounding

None identified.

Footnotes

Contributors

Authors

Kerstin de Wit, MBChB, BSc, MD, MSc
Assistant Professor, Division of Emergency Medicine McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada

Sameer Sharif, MD, BMSc
Resident, Division of Emergency Medicine McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada

Appraisers

Kanters D; Worster A; De Wit K & Sharif S.

Competing Interest Disclosure

Dr. de Wit - No conflicts of interest (ICMJE)

Dr. Sharif - No conflicts of interest (ICMJE)

References

  1. Kline JA, Hogg MM, Courtney DM, et al. D-dimer threshold increase with pretest probability unlikely for pulmonary embolism to decrease unnecessary computerized tomographic pulmonary angiography. J Thromb Haemost. 2012;10(4):572–81.